Is Bitcoin near a cycle top?

Nobody rings a bell at the top. But the signals that marked past tops are measurable — here is what they say right now.

What has marked past tops

• Pi Cycle Top crossing.
• Mayer Multiple above ~2.4.
• MVRV Z-Score in its red zone.
• Extreme greed on the Fear & Greed Index (90+).
• Price stretched far above the 200-week MA.

Reading them together

A top is rarely one signal — it is several lighting up at once. That is what the ARC Index measures: when the combined score pushes into the 70s and beyond, the structure has historically been late-cycle and high-risk.

What it says today

Read the live ARC score above. Under 40 is accumulation; 72+ is the historically risky, late-cycle zone.

FAQ

Is Bitcoin near a cycle top in 2026?

Check the live ARC score above. Historically, tops formed when multiple signals lit up together and the combined score pushed into the 70s+.

What signals mark a Bitcoin cycle top?

A Pi Cycle cross, a high Mayer Multiple, a red-zone MVRV Z-Score, extreme greed, and price far above the 200-week MA — strongest when several align.